Oscars..Who Will Win..Should Win...Who Got Snubbed!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Well here I go I will now give you my picks for this weekends Oscar Ceremonies!
This year there are so many tight races, it is like shooting fish in a barrel...but I will give it my best shot.
BEST ACTOR
JAVIER BARDEM
Being the Ricardos
BENEDICT CUMBERBATCH
The Power of the Dog
ANDREW GARFIELD
tick, tick...BOOM!
WILL SMITH
King Richard
DENZEL WASHINGTON
The Tragedy of Macbeth
Who Will Win; And Should Win:
WILL SMITH
This category is the closest to a lock at this years Oscars.
Smith is sooo good even in his mannerisms as Richard Williams in the overrated fluff piece of King Richard. I think the other performances do not come close to his performance.
Snubbed:
I really do not have a snubbed in this category. I think it has been a very weak year for men. So I would keep everyone there.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
CIARÁN HINDS
Belfast
TROY KOTSUR
CODA
JESSE PLEMONS
The Power of the Dog
J.K. SIMMONS
Being the Ricardos
KODI SMIT-MCPHEE
The Power of the Dog
Will Win:
TROY KOTSUR
This is an amazingly tight race to the end. I think it is between Kotsur; Smit-McPhee; and Hinds.
Any of the three could win, however I think Kotsur for his loving yet testy role as Frank Rossi in Coda is getting the slight edge recently in this tight race. Well deserved for sure.
Should Win:
CIRAN HINDS
I think he should win just because his role in Belfast as Pop is meatier. So I would say he should win. He is so good as Pop, it was almost like he was born for this role.
SNUBBED
MIKE FAIST
Mike Faist as Riff in West Side Story is freaking fantastic!! Acting; Singing; Dancing...a triple threat. I would replace JK Simmons with him in a heartbeat.
JESSICA CHASTAIN
The Eyes of Tammy Faye
OLIVIA COLMAN
The Lost Daughter
PENÉLOPE CRUZ
Parallel Mothers
NICOLE KIDMAN
Being the Ricardos
KRISTEN STEWART
Spencer
Who Will Win/Should Win
JESSICA CHASTAIN
Olivia Colman was an early front runner. I think once everyone saw the borefest of the film she and the film Lost Daughter started falling by the wayside. Chastain and Kidman have jumped past Coleman. I am kind of surprised that people even remembered the Tammy Faye movie but they did and I think the movie surging by streaming has helped her. Plus she has yet to win which Kidman and Coleman has. So I think Chastain should and will win for her role as Tammy Faye.
Snubbed
Yes I have two!!
Alana Haim is a find!! In Licorice Pizza she owns the screen and she is in almost every scene as Alana going through many ranges of emotion!
Rachael Zegler Singing and dancing and acting coming right out of high school. She does not get a nomination??!! She has the face of a movie star!! They forget to even invite her to the Oscars! Really? Really? That is on Disney, in fact not getting nominated is on Disney, who is notoriously bad during ballot times for not promoting their own films. Then forgetting to send the star of their Oscar Nominated film!!
Well I would replace Stewart, you know I love her as an actress but not here. I would also replace Cruz, I swear I have seen her in the same type of role before.. so she would go also. They both would be replaced by Haim and Zegler.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
JESSIE BUCKLEY
The Lost Daughter
ARIANA DEBOSE
West Side Story
JUDI DENCH
Belfast
KIRSTEN DUNST
The Power of the Dog
AUNJANUE ELLIS
King Richard
Will And Should Win:
ARIANA DEBOSE
As Anita, DeBose is the definition of an actress who attacked her role. She has become the front runner for the last couple months but even more so since more people have seen West Side Story on Disney+. The only person who may have a chance at beating her here is Judi Dench, because she is well Judi Dench. I am not putting down the others..I am so happy Buckley was nominated for The Lost Daughter, and Dunst is fantastic in a soft almost non-verbal role in Power Of The Dog. Still no one comes close to DeBose.
Snubbed
Caitriona Balfe
This was stunning that she did not get nominated for playing Ma in Belfast. She was the heart and soul of the film. I would replace Dench who was barely in the film with Balfe in a heartbeat.
BEST ANIMATED FILM
ENCANTO
Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Yvett Merino and Clark Spencer
FLEE
Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sørensen and Charlotte De La Gournerie
LUCA
Enrico Casarosa and Andrea Warren
THE MITCHELLS VS. THE MACHINES
Mike Rianda, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller and Kurt Albrecht
RAYA AND THE LAST DRAGON
Don Hall, Carlos López Estrada, Osnat Shurer and Peter Del Vecho
Will Win
ENCANTO
It just has so much attention due to the Bruno song and the popularity on DISNEY+. There is a faction out there who love the Netflix film Mitchell vs The Machine. However not enough votes to pass Encanto.
Should win
RAYA AND THE LAST DRAGON
I really think Raya was better than Encanto. I think Encanto is just odd and the music, which is good, does not flow into the story very well. In fact it breaks up the storyline. Where Raya, is filled with action and humor, and love.
I do not see any snubs in this category.
BEST DIRECTOR
BELFAST
Kenneth Branagh
DRIVE MY CAR
Ryusuke Hamaguchi
LICORICE PIZZA
Paul Thomas Anderson
THE POWER OF THE DOG
Jane Campion
WEST SIDE STORY
Steven Spielberg
Will Win
JANE CAMPION
There is a large faction in Hollywood who want her to win. She is very popular. There are only two directors who could upset her ,Branagh and Spielberg. If they did come close I think they would cancel themselves out and again that leads to Campion.
Should win
KENNETH BRANAGH
I just think Spielberg did a great job making West Side Story modern yet old at the same time, however I can't get past he already had the source from the musical and the original film in front of him. So I think that knocks him out for me. Branagh's Belfast I just love the look and feel he brought to Belfast. Using a grayscale, black and white. Great score. He brought in a great cast. You can tell this movie was personal to him. It bleeds from the screen. I just don't think Campion did anything challenging or different to win the Oscar.
Before I get to best picture let me throw in some winners for the lesser popular categories:
Dune will be the big winner with most nominations:
Best Editing
Best Score
Best Production Design
Best Sound
Best Visual Effects
Best Cinematography West Side Story
Best Costume Design Cruella
Best Documentary Summer Of Soul...will win but poorly put together, yes music was great, but sloppy with editing of the music. Then Rescue is the best Documentary hands down.
Best International Feature Drive My Car will win But worst Person In The World is so much better.
Best Makeup Hairstyling Cruella
Best Song No Time To Die.. oh where have gone Bruno
Adapted Screenplay Coda
Original Screenplay Belfast
NOW BEST PICTURE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
BELFAST
Laura Berwick, Kenneth Branagh, Becca Kovacik and Tamar Thomas, Producers
CODA
Philippe Rousselet, Fabrice Gianfermi and Patrick Wachsberger, Producers
DON'T LOOK UP
Adam McKay and Kevin Messick, Producers
DRIVE MY CAR
Teruhisa Yamamoto, Producer
DUNE
Mary Parent, Denis Villeneuve and Cale Boyter, Producers
KING RICHARD
Tim White, Trevor White and Will Smith, Producers
LICORICE PIZZA
Sara Murphy, Adam Somner and Paul Thomas Anderson, Producers
NIGHTMARE ALLEY
Guillermo del Toro, J. Miles Dale and Bradley Cooper, Producers
THE POWER OF THE DOG
Jane Campion, Tanya Seghatchian, Emile Sherman, Iain Canning and Roger Frappier, Producers
WEST SIDE STORY
Steven Spielberg and Kristie Macosko Krieger, Producers
Will Win and Should Win
CODA
This could go anywhere. I think CODA should win. Will it? It is a battle between Coda; Belfast; and Power Of The Dog. It could go to any of those three, however CODA has momentum. It is kind of a shocker we are even thinking that Coda can win. It gives you the feels and critics and Hollywood usually do not award those films. They like sad depressing like Power. I do think Belfast has came on strong in last month, but Coda I feel will hold on.
Snubbed
I really have no snubbed but I can say 10 films are way too much;
I would get rid of:
Dune...You have to keep stopping the story and explain things....never a good sign
Drive My Car..Not even the best foreign film The Worst Person In The World was.
King Richard..Great performance by Smith but let's be honest it's a dishonest fluff piece
Nightmare Alley..needed a editor
Don't Look Up...Come on! Its a TV film never really out in theaters
So the 5 should be...
West Side Story
Power Of The Dog
Licorice Pizza
Belfast
Coda
5 is all that is needed
Well there you go..closing up Oscar week with my picks..
From the shadows as always thanks for your time.
No comments:
Post a Comment